Donald Trump surpasses Hillary Clinton in national poll

Meredith Hoffman | Staff Writer

In a survey released Monday, Sept. 19, polls indicated that Republican candidate Donald J. Trump has surpassed his democratic opponent Hillary Clinton nationally.

The survey, which was released by Red Oak Strategic, puts Donald Trump ahead by a margin of two points. It is important to note that Trump’s lead of 35 percent to Clinton’s 33 percent is within the margin of strategic error, reports The Hill.

Trump and Clinton have led a highly divisive race with staggering polling statistics from the start of their campaigns. Statisticians point to the shrinking gap between their polling numbers as the general election draws closer.

Other national polls such as one released Sunday by CBS News Battleground Tracker reported that both candidates are neck and neck at 42 percent of the national vote. Additionally, RealClearPolitics reports that Clinton is leading Trump in major battleground states by 1 percent.

Regardless of differing polls, the Clinton campaign has had a detrimental past two weeks. Hillary Clinton again had to defend her health as she recently had a fainting scare at an event held to honor the victims of 9/11. Rumors and theories spread through various media outlets speculating about her heath, and whether she was physically fit enough to serve as Commander-in-Chief.

The Hillary Clinton campaign quickly responded to rising concerns by releasing the candidate’s medical report and explaining she simply suffered from pneumonia. Health scares such as these are known to hurt candidates in the polls, and Clinton’s health is thought to be a factor in her small drop nationally. 

While the drop nationally may be a response to health concerns or simply statistical error, the Clinton campaign can’t deny Trump’s lead in other states such as Utah. While it is unsurprising to most that Trump leads in a Republican state such as Utah, the margin in itself is quite large. The most recent reports show that Trump has a 15-point average over his opposing candidate. 

Conversely, RealClearPolitics is reporting that the Clinton campaign is leading in the polls of six of the 14 key battleground states. Trump, at this time, leads in only one: Ohio. The other seven battleground states are currently tied between the two candidates. 

The polling statistics such as the one released Monday by Red Oak Strategic are largely seen as nebulous and subject to change. At roughly 48 days out from the general election, no one poll is going to give any clear idea of a potential new President-elect.